The $2.1 Trillion Writeoff: Why Doctors Charge 4x What They Get Paid
Published February 2026 · 15 min read
Key Finding
Over 10 years, Medicare providers submitted $3223.5B in charges. Medicare allowed $1087.8B. The difference — $2135.7B — was written off. That's 66.3% of all charges, gone.
The Biggest Hidden Number in Healthcare
There is a number so large, so absurd, that almost nobody in healthcare talks about it: $2135.7B.
That's the total amount that Medicare providers charged but never collected over the past decade. Doctors submitted $3223.5B in bills. Medicare said "we'll allow $1087.8B of that." And then Medicare actually paid $854.8B.
The math is staggering:
Total Charges Submitted
$3223.5B
Medicare Allowed Amount
$1087.8B
Medicare Actually Paid
$854.8B
Written Off (Never Collected)
$2135.7B
Coinsurance Gap (Patient Responsibility)
$233.0B
The difference between what Medicare allows and what Medicare pays — patients owe this.
For every dollar providers bill Medicare, they collect about 27 cents. The charge-to-paid ratio is 3.77x. Doctors know this. Insurance companies know this. CMS knows this. And yet the system persists.
Why Do Doctors Charge 4x What They Know They'll Get?
This isn't incompetence — it's strategy. There are three key reasons providers set charges far above what Medicare pays:
1. The Fee Schedule Floor: Medicare pays based on its own fee schedule, regardless of what you charge — but if you charge less than the Medicare rate, you get paid your lower charge. So providers set charges high to ensure they never leave money on the table.
2. Private Insurance Benchmarking: Many private insurers negotiate rates as a percentage of Medicare or a percentage of "billed charges." Higher chargemaster prices give providers leverage in these negotiations. A provider who charges $500 for a service and negotiates 60% of charges gets $300. One who charges $200 gets $120.
3. The Chargemaster Game: Hospital and practice "chargemasters" — the master list of prices — have been disconnected from reality for decades. Prices are set by administrative inertia, competitive positioning, and the knowledge that almost no one actually pays them. It's a fictional price list that everyone agrees to pretend is real.
The Coinsurance Problem: $233 Billion on Patients
There's a hidden casualty in this system: patients. The "coinsurance gap" — the difference between what Medicare allows and what Medicare actually pays — totals $233.0B over the decade.
This is the amount patients are theoretically responsible for through copays, coinsurance, and deductibles. That's 21.4% of the allowed amount — money that comes out of seniors' pockets or their supplemental insurance.
The Writeoff Is Getting Worse
The gap between charges and payments has been widening every year: