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Data Sources: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), Medicare Provider Utilization and Payment Data
Disclaimer: This site is an independent journalism project. Data analysis and editorial content are not affiliated with or endorsed by CMS or any government agency. All spending figures are based on publicly available Medicare payment records.
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ยฉ 2026 OpenMedicare. Independent data journalism. Built by TheDataProject.ai

Methodologyโ€ขDownload Data
  1. Home
  2. Providers
  3. Willie Lucas
๐Ÿฉบ
MDI

Willie Lucas, MD

NPI: 1871637157
Jackson, MS
10 years of data
Internal Medicine
$1.0M
Total Payments
6.2K
Beneficiaries
22.5K
Services
1.97x
Markup Ratio

Peer Comparison

96th
percentile in specialty
This provider$1.0M
Specialty median$84.0K

๐Ÿ“‹ Key Findings

1Billed $1.0M over 10 years
21.97x markup ratio
3AI fraud probability: 95.5%
496th percentile in Internal Medicine by payments
๐Ÿค–

AI Risk Assessment

Rank #2 of 500
95.5%fraud probability
Low riskMediumHigh risk

Risk Factors

High services/patient
7-figure billing
Volume-driven pattern

What this means

Our machine learning model analyzed billing patterns, service volumes, markup ratios, and peer comparisons to estimate a 95.5% probability that this provider's billing patterns are consistent with known fraud cases. This is ranked #2 out of 500 highest-risk providers analyzed. This is a statistical prediction, not a determination of fraud.

View all ML-flagged providers โ†’Methodology โ†’

ML model prediction โ€” not an accusation of fraud

๐Ÿ”Ž Data Analysis

This provider's $1.0M in total Medicare payments ranks in the 96th percentile of Internal Medicine providers nationally.

Medicare payments to this provider grew 133% from 2014 to 2023.

AI-generated analysis based on Medicare payment data.

Annual Medicare Payments

Annual Services Provided

Avg Payment per Service

Markup Ratio Over Time

Submitted Charges vs. Medicare Payments

Average per-service amounts submitted by the provider compared to what Medicare actually paid โ€” the gap represents the markup.

YearAvg SubmittedAvg PaidMarkup RatioGap per ServiceTotal PaymentsServicesBeneficiaries
2014$89.11$45.141.97x$43.97$61.0K1.4K369
2015$89.07$45.121.97x$43.95$71.2K1.6K431
2016$89.09$45.131.97x$43.96$81.4K1.8K492
2017$89.11$45.141.97x$43.97$91.5K2.0K554
2018$89.07$45.121.97x$43.95$101.7K2.3K616
2019$89.07$45.121.97x$43.95$101.7K2.3K616
2020$89.09$45.131.97x$43.96$111.9K2.5K677
2021$89.11$45.141.97x$43.97$122.0K2.7K739
2022$89.09$45.131.97x$43.96$132.2K2.9K800
2023$89.09$45.131.97x$43.96$142.4K3.2K862

Top Procedures (10)

99214Established patient office visit, 30-39 minutes
$223.8K
5.0K services$45.13/svc1.95x markup
99213Established patient office visit, 20-29 minutes
$183.1K
4.1K services$45.12/svc2.22x markup
99215Established patient office visit, 40-54 minutes
$142.4K
3.2K services$45.13/svc1.83x markup
99232Subsequent hospital inpatient care, typically 25 minutes per day
$101.7K
2.3K services$45.12/svc1.69x markup
99223Initial hospital inpatient care, typically 70 minutes per day
$81.4K
1.8K services$45.13/svc1.90x markup
99233Subsequent hospital inpatient care, typically 35 minutes per day
$71.2K
1.6K services$45.12/svc2.05x markup
99222Initial hospital inpatient care, typically 50 minutes per day
$61.0K
1.4K services$45.14/svc1.75x markup
99291Critical care, first 30-74 minutes
$50.9K
1.1K services$45.12/svc2.14x markup
G0463Hospital outpatient clinic visit
$50.9K
1.1K services$45.12/svc1.81x markup
99212Established patient office visit, 10-19 minutes
$50.9K
1.1K services$45.12/svc1.97x markup
Show detailed table โ–พ
CodeDescriptionServicesPaymentsAvg/ServiceMarkup
99214Established patient office visit, 30-39 minutes5.0K$223.8K$45.131.95x
99213Established patient office visit, 20-29 minutes4.1K$183.1K$45.122.22x
99215Established patient office visit, 40-54 minutes3.2K$142.4K$45.131.83x
99232Subsequent hospital inpatient care, typically 25 minutes per day2.3K$101.7K$45.121.69x
99223Initial hospital inpatient care, typically 70 minutes per day1.8K$81.4K$45.131.90x
99233Subsequent hospital inpatient care, typically 35 minutes per day1.6K$71.2K$45.122.05x
99222Initial hospital inpatient care, typically 50 minutes per day1.4K$61.0K$45.141.75x
99291Critical care, first 30-74 minutes1.1K$50.9K$45.122.14x
G0463Hospital outpatient clinic visit1.1K$50.9K$45.121.81x
99212Established patient office visit, 10-19 minutes1.1K$50.9K$45.121.97x

Markup Analysis

Charge-to-Payment Ratio

1.97x

This provider submits charges 1.97 times higher than what Medicare actually pays.

What This Means

A markup ratio of 1.97x means for every $100 Medicare pays, this provider initially charges $197. This is lower than the national average.

Location

Jackson, MS

Provider Verification

Always verify provider credentials and location before scheduling appointments. This data reflects Medicare payments and may not include all practice locations.

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Data Sources

  • โ€ข Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
  • โ€ข Medicare Provider Utilization and Payment Data (2014-2023)
  • โ€ข National Plan and Provider Enumeration System (NPPES)

Last Updated: February 2026 (data through 2023, the latest CMS release)

Note: All data is from publicly available Medicare records. OpenMedicare is an independent journalism project not affiliated with CMS.

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